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April 2025 crypto market outlook: Analysis of Fed policy, Trump tariffs, ETH Pectra upgrade, and inflation data. Will Bitcoin’s historical April strength prevail despite limited catalysts https://slwebsitedesign.com/? Market projections through June.
According to Milk Road, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing significant shifts as we approach mid-2025. They highlight that Bitcoin has shown a marked increase in trading volume, which could indicate a bullish trend. Additionally, Ethereum’s recent upgrade has sparked renewed interest among institutional investors .
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However, overall, a favorable turn in the broader environment (such as Fed rate cuts and balance sheet expansion) is still needed; and recent events such as the Ethereum Foundation selling tokens and core developers leaving have caused community dissatisfaction, coupled with the rise of competitors like Solana, may weaken the positive impact of the upgrade. Although the testnet is progressing smoothly, if vulnerabilities or delays occur in the mainnet upgrade, it may trigger short-term selling pressure.
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Atkins’ appearance at the oversight hearing was one of his first since being sworn into office in April. Nominated by US President Donald Trump, Atkins, also a former commissioner, was seen by many lawmakers and those in the digital asset industry as someone who could radically change the SEC’s approach to crypto.
In 2022, the SEC increased the size of its Cyber Unit by 66%, from 30 to 50 officials, and renamed it the Crypto Assets and Cyber Unit as it expanded its crypto enforcement efforts. The many cases brought after this expansion suggest the unit has its work cut out for it. Notoriously a crypto-sceptic, Gensler has repeatedly told interviewers since the January 2024 launch of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that “the whole field is rife with abuses and fraud.”
The Task Force’s focus will be to help the Commission draw clear regulatory lines, provide realistic paths to registration, craft sensible disclosure frameworks, and deploy enforcement resources judiciously.
“This undertaking will take time, patience, and much hard work. It will succeed only if the Task Force has input from a wide range of investors, industry participants, academics, and other interested parties. We look forward to working hand-in-hand with the public to foster a regulatory environment that protects investors, facilitates capital formation, fosters market integrity, and supports innovation,” stated Commissioner Peirce.
The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is backing away, one by one, from the volley of lawsuits and investigations it brought against cryptocurrency businesses under the Joe Biden administration, in a reversal described by a former attorney at the regulatory agency as “unprecedented.”
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Nevertheless, Ethereum saw the highlight of last week’s crypto inflows. According to the CoinShares report, crypto inflows into Ethereum reached $205 million. This was a notable climb from the previous report’s $1.5 million.
As Ethereum and other altcoins recorded positive flows, Solana bucked the trend. It posted up to $0.89 million in crypto outflows. This aligns with a recent trend of declining TVL (total value locked), plunging 64%.
“The Ethereum Foundation is thrilled to welcome Hsiao-Wei Wang and Tomasz Stanczak as co-Executive Directors. This new leadership structure marks an exciting new chapter in the Foundation’s evolution as we continue to support a growing Ethereum ecosystem,” the EF said in March.
“Bitcoin attracted $557 million in inflows, a decrease from the prior week, likely due to continued hawkish signals from the US Federal Reserve. Short-bitcoin products saw a fourth consecutive week of inflows, totaling $5.8 million, reflecting investor positioning amid recent price gains,” read an excerpt in the report.
Nevertheless, Ethereum saw the highlight of last week’s crypto inflows. According to the CoinShares report, crypto inflows into Ethereum reached $205 million. This was a notable climb from the previous report’s $1.5 million.
As Ethereum and other altcoins recorded positive flows, Solana bucked the trend. It posted up to $0.89 million in crypto outflows. This aligns with a recent trend of declining TVL (total value locked), plunging 64%.
Latest cryptocurrency news april 30 2025
FinCEN notes FATF identifies jurisdictions with AML/CFT deficiencies. On February 26, FinCEN announced that the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) updated its lists of jurisdictions with strategic anti-money laundering (AML), countering the financing of terrorism (CFT), and countering the financing of proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (CPF) deficiencies at the conclusion of its plenary meeting this month. FinCEN informed US financial institutions to consider FATF’s stance toward these jurisdictions when reviewing their obligations and risk-based policies, procedures, and practices. FATF added Laos and Nepal to its list of jurisdictions under increased monitoring and removed the Philippines from that list. Additionally, FATF’s list of high-risk jurisdictions subject to a call for action remains the same (Iran, Democratic People’s Republic of Korea and Burma).
At press time, Bitcoin has a market capitalization of $ 1.88T after gaining 0.64% in the last 24 hours. According to our forecast, the value of Bitcoin will drop by null% and reach null by April 30, 2025. To learn more about how the price of Bitcoin could change over the next 7 days, visit our Bitcoin price prediction page.
Encouragingly, market performance during April 2025 suggests that Bitcoin and other digital assets may be part of the solution (Exhibit 2). In a volatile month for traditional assets — in which the VIX briefly exceeded 50% — Bitcoin’s price appreciated 15% and our market-cap weighted Crypto Sectors index gained 11%. U.S. equities declined 1% on net, with weakness led by cyclical market segments. Gold and certain foreign currencies had gains comparable to Bitcoin on a risk-adjusted basis (i.e., accounting for each asset’s volatility).
There are many differences between that period and today, and it will likely take a few months before we know where tariff rates will stabilize — Treasury Secretary Bessent said that the third quarter was a “reasonable estimate” for when markets will have clarity on tariffs. But regardless of how the negotiations play out, like the Nixon Shock in 1971, we expect that President Trump’s push to reshape global trade will have significant implications for the economy and financial markets over the coming years. Investors will need to consider the implications for their portfolios and may need to seek out alternative sources of return and diversification.
President Trump pardons BitMex and executives. On March 27, President Donald Trump issued “full and unconditional” pardons to HDR Global Trading Limited, operator of the BitMex cryptocurrency exchange, and four of the firm’s former executives – Arthur Hayes, Benjamin Delo, Samuel Reed, and Gregory Dwyer. The pardons relate to 2024 and 2022 guilty pleas to violations of the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA) and failure to maintain adequate anti-money laundering (AML) compliance programs. The individuals had been sentenced to probation and ordered to pay collectively more than $30 million, while HDR had been ordered to pay a $100 million fine in addition to $100 million to settle registration failures with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the US Department of the Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN). For more information on BitMex, see our prior issues: January 2025, July 2024, May 2022, and March 2022.